TRANSPORTATION PLANNING AND MODELING (ENCE 371)
Course Objectives
The objective of this course is to provide students principles of transportation planning and the use of mathematical models for transport demand forecasting. It covers the role and functions of models in system analysis, the different types of models and their applications.
It emphases on aggregated models for trip generation, trip distribution, modal split, and network assignment, along with estimation of model parameters with calibration, enabling student to analyze and forecast transportation demand effectively.
Detailed Syllabus
1.1 Concept of transportation planning
1.2 Existing planning process in Nepal
1.3 Rational decision-making process
1.4 System engineering concept and application in transport planning
1.5 Models and model developing process
1.6 Issues in transportation planning and modeling
2 Statistics in Transportation Planning (7 hours)2.1 Statistics in transportation (Binomial, Poisson, negative binomial, negative exponential and normal distributions)
2.2 Hypothesis tests
2.3 Regression analysis
3 Transportation Survey (4 hours)3.1 Basic sampling theory
3.2 Data collection methods in transportation
3.3 Home interview survey
3.4 Roadside interview survey
3.5 Inventory of transport facilities, land-use and economic activities
3.6 Network and zoning system
4 Traffic Forecasting (6 hours)4.1 Need for traffic forecasting
4.2 Forecasting based on past trends
4.3 Mathematical models for traffic forecasting
4.4 Econometric method for traffic forecasting
4.5 Land use forecasting model (Lowry model)
5 Trip Generation Modeling (5 hours)5.1 Trip classification
5.2 Concept of trip generation and factors affecting trip generation
5.3 Trip generation analysis: Growth factor modeling; Regression analysis; Category analysis
6 Trip Distribution Modeling (6 hours)6.1 Concept of trip distribution and factors affecting trip distribution
6.2 Growth factor methods: Uniform; Average growth factor; Fratar method; Furness method
6.3 Gravity models
7 Modal Split Model (4 hours)7.1 Concept of mode choice modeling and factors affecting mode choice
7.2 Types of modal split models; Logit model and its application
8 Trip Assignment (6 hours)8.1 Basic concepts and factors affecting trip assignment
8.2 Procedure of trip assignment (Minimum path technique; Minimum path with capacity restraint; BPR Method; Diversion curves; User equilibrium assignment; System optimization assignment
Tutorial (30 hours)
1. Use of probability distributions and regression analysis
2. Sampling theory and estimation of sample size
3. Analysis of trip generation
4. Analysis of trip distribution
5. Application of modal split model
6. Trip assignment
Practical/Assignment (15 hours)
1. Review of previous transportation study reports
2. Application of geo-informatics in transportation planning
3. Traffic and transport study using recent macro simulation packages
Final Exam
The questions will cover all the chapters in the syllabus. The evaluation scheme will be as indicated in the table below:
| Chapter | Hours | Marks distribution* |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | 8 |
| Total | 45 | 60 |
* There may be minor deviation in marks distribution.
References
1. Kadiyali, L. R. (2024). Traffic engineering and transport planning. Khanna Publishers.
2. Papacostas, C. S., Prevedouros, P. D. (2000). Transportation engineering and planning. Pearson.
3. Meyer, M. D., Miller, E. J. (2001). Urban transportation planning: A decision oriented approach. McGraw-Hill.
4. Ortúzar, J. de D., Willumsen, L. G. (2024). Modelling transport. John Wiley & Sons.
Chapter-wise Notes
Based on the latest syllabus of IoE (III/II)
| SN | Chapter | View / Download |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Introduction | View / Download |
| 2 | Statistics in Transportation Planning | View / Download |
| 3 | Transportation Survey | View / Download |
| 4 | Traffic Forecasting | View / Download |
| 5 | Trip Generation Modeling | View / Download |
| 6 | Trip Distribution Modeling | View / Download |
| 7 | Modal Split Model | View / Download |
| 8 | Trip Assignment | View / Download |
Practical Manuals & Reports
Field guides and software assignments for Transportation Planning and Modeling ENCE 371
| SN | Practical Name | View / Download |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Review of previous transportation study reports | View / Download |
| 2 | Application of geo-informatics in transportation planning | View / Download |
| 3 | Traffic and transport study using recent macro simulation packages | View / Download |
Miscellaneous Items & Tutorials
| SN | Item | Description | Download |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macro Simulation Packages Guide | Documentation for traffic and transport studies using software | Download |
| 2 | Past Year Questions | Collection of previous exam papers for Transportation Planning and Modeling ENCE 371 | Download |
| 3 | Tutorial Solutions Book | Full step-by-step evaluations for trip generation, distribution, and assignment | Download |
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